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Tropical Storm Gordon brings hurricane warning to Gulf Coast

MIAMI BEACH, Fla. (AP) — Tropical Storm Gordon lashed South Florida with heavy rains and high winds on Monday and is expected to strengthen into a hurricane when it hits the central U.S. Gulf Coast.
Gordon formed into a tropical storm near the Florida Keys early Monday as it moved west-northwest at 17 mph (28 kph). The storm is expected to reach hurricane strength when it hits the Gulf Coast, including coastal Mississippi, by late Tuesday. From there, it is forecast to move inland over the lower Mississippi Valley on Wednesday.
The National Hurricane Center said at 8 p.m. EDT that the storm was centered 95 miles (150 kilometers) west of Fort Myers, Florida. Maximum sustained winds were clocked at 60 mph (95 kph).
A hurricane warning was put into effect for the area stretching from the mouth of the Pearl River in Mississippi to the Alabama-Florida border. As much as 8 inches (20 centimeters) of rain could fall in some parts of the Gulf states through late Thursday.
The Miami-based center said the storm is also expected to bring "life-threatening" storm surge to portions of the central Gulf Coast. A storm surge warning has been issued for the area stretching from Shell Beach, Louisiana, to Dauphin Island, Alabama. The warning means there is danger of life-threatening inundation. The region could see rising waters of 3 to 5 feet (0.9 to 1.5 meters).
"The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large waves," the center said.
Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards declared a state of emergency Monday and said 200 National Guard troops will be deployed to southeastern Louisiana.
The storm's predicted track had shifted slightly east as of Monday evening, meaning Louisiana is currently just outside the area under the hurricane warning. Still, the southeastern part of the state remains under a tropical storm warning and residents need to be prepared for the storm to shift west, Edwards said.
"This storm has every possibility to track further in our direction," Edwards said during a news conference Monday evening.
New Orleans Mayor LaToya Cantrell held an afternoon news conference and said the city has "the pumps and the power" needed to protect residents. But authorities issued a voluntary evacuation order for areas outside the city's levee protection system, including the Venetian Isles, Lake Saint Catherine and Irish Bayou areas.
Cantrell urged residents within the levee protection area to stock up on supplies and shelter in place.
Miami Beach Police said via Twitter that the Labor Day holiday was "NOT a beach day," with rough surf and potential rip currents. Red flags flew over Pensacola-area beaches in Florida's Panhandle, where swimming and wading in the Gulf of Mexico was prohibited. More than 4,000 Florida Power & Light customers lost power Monday due to weather conditions.
The National Weather Service said conditions were "possible" for tornadoes in the affected parts of South Florida on Monday night.
The storm left many businesses on Florida's Gulf Coast feeling shortchanged by the holiday weekend. The area has already been heavily impacted by this summer's so-called "red tide"— massive algae blooms that have caused waves of dead marine life to wash up along the coast.
Jenna Wright, owner of a coffee shop in Naples, Florida, told the Naples Daily News that she had expected higher numbers for the Labor Day weekend.
"This is normally a decent weekend, but the storm and red tide aren't helping," Wright said. "We're a beach coffee shop, and if people can't go to the beach, then we won't get any customers."
Separately, Tropical Storm Florence continues to hold steady over the eastern Atlantic. Forecasters say little change in strength is expected in coming days and no coastal watches or warnings are in effect.

JOSEPH STEVEN 'STEVE' SOILEAU

July 18, 1946 - September 1, 2018

Joseph Steven Soileau, a Ville Platte native who was raised in Morgan City and has been a resident of Patterson for the past 40 years, passed away at the age of 72 on Saturday, September 1, 2018, at his home with his family by his side.

Steve was a devoted husband, father, grandfather, and great grandfather who loved his family deeply. He worked as a machinist in the Oil Industry and retired from Grant Prideco of Amelia. An outdoorsman at heart, Steve especially loved camping with family and friends, which he made many lasting memories. Fishing was also a favorite pastime, nothing beat running trout lines and casting hoop nets. He was also a big football and baseball fan. He will be dearly missed and fondly remembered by all who knew and loved him.

Those he leaves to cherish his memory include his wife of 53 years, Shirley Cassard Soileau; his daughters, Tina S. Dupuis and her husband Eric, and Sherrie S. Bell and her husband Rob; two grandchildren, Kristina Kyle and Joseph F. Dupuis; two great grandchildren, Abigail and Alexander; his mother, Hazzel G. Bellard; one brother, J. P. Soileau; one step-brother, Carl Bellard and his wife Becky; three step-sisters, Alida Comeaux and her husband Wilford, Barbara Jean Lucas, and Donna Johnson; as well as numerous nieces, nephews, and family members.

He was preceded in death by his father, Wilson Soileau; two step-fathers, Redester Aucoin (who raised him) and Bobby Bellard; his brother and sister-in-law, Wilson Soileau Jr. and Linda Gail Soileau; step-sister, Debbie Bellard Marcantel, his niece and godchild, Anita Soileau Boyne; sister-in-law, Jeanette Soileau; maternal grandparents, Jean Pierre Guillory and Estman Schuff Guillory; and paternal grandparents, Mr. and Mrs. Lawrence Soileau.

Funeral services will be held at St. Joseph Catholic Church in Patterson on Tuesday, September 4, during an 11:00 a.m. Mass of Christian Burial, with visitation beginning at 9:00 a.m. Following the Mass he will be laid to rest in St. Joseph Cemetery Mausoleum. Father Herb Bennerfield will be the Celebrant for the Mass and conduct the services. Serving as pallbearers will be Eric Dupuis, Joseph Dupuis, Rob Bell, Hayden Hebert, Jake Hebert, and Troy Soileau.

The family would like to express their deepest gratitude to Heart of Hospice and his “special nurse” Sheila Landry Dickey, Dr. Albert and his nurse Reba for 40 years of loving care, and Dr. William Cefalu Jr. for caring for him in his final days.

Family and friends may view the obituary and express their condolences online by visiting www.iberts.com.

Arrangements have been entrusted to Ibert's Mortuary, Inc., 1111 Lia Street, Patterson, LA 70392, (985) 395-7873.

No decision yet on St. Mary school closure

St. Mary Parish public school officials say they're watching Tropical Storm Gordon but aren't yet ready to announce any school closures.

The statement from Assistant Superintendent Teresa Bagwell:

Weather reports regarding Tropical Storm Gordon are being closely monitored by St. Mary Parish Schools in collaboration with advisement from the Department of Homeland Security. No decision on school closures has been made as Superintendent Armato continues to receive updates of any potential impacts from the storm in the coming days. As more information becomes available, the school district will release additional details through email and local news media sources.

Sand bags to be available Tuesday in Bayou Vista, Amelia, Patterson

St. Mary Parish Government will have sand and sand bags available beginning Tuesday morning in Amelia under the La. 182 bridge and in Bayou Vista at the public works barn. People should bring their own shovels.
Also on Tuesday, the city of Patterson Public Works Department will have sand and bags available across the tracks at the fire station and outside the gate on Taft Street.

UPDATED 5 a.m.: Latest from NWS on TS Gordon, TS Florence

From the NWS at Lake Charles

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Shell Beach to Dauphin Island

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* West of Shell Beach to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
* East of Dauphin Island to Navarre

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Mouth of the Pearl River to the Alabama-Florida Border

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach
* West of the Mouth of the Pearl River to east of Morgan City,
Louisiana, including Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas
* Alabama-Florida Border to Okaloosa-Walton County Line

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at risk, please
see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic,
available at hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation.
Persons located within these areas should take all necessary actions
to protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning areas.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

Tropical Storm Gordon Discussion Number 9

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
400 AM CDT Tue Sep 04 2018

Gordon has changed little in organization on geostationary
satellite images or on the WSR-88D radar presentation over the past
several hours. The storm has a small CDO with convective banding
features primarily over the eastern semicircle of the circulation.
Overall the cloud pattern is indicative of moderate westerly shear
over the system, likely associated with an upper-level trough near
the central Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit Hurricane
Hunter aircraft investigated Gordon a few hours ago and reported
maximum SFMR-measured surface winds of 54 kt. On this basis the
intensity had been adjusted to 55 kt, which is somewhat above the
latest Dvorak estimates. It is assumed that the shear will not be
strong enough to inhibit at least some strengthening before
landfall, so the tropical cyclone is still forecast to become a
hurricane later today. The official forecast, prior to landfall, is
close to the latest LGEM intensity guidance, and near the upper end
of the guidance suite. Gordon should weaken rapidly after landfall
in the lower Mississippi Valley region.

The motion continues west-northwestward, or 300/15 kt. There is
little or no change to the NHC track prediction or forecast
reasoning from the previous advisory. Gordon is expected to move
along the southwestern periphery of a mid-level high pressure area
and make landfall along the north-central Gulf of Mexico coast
within 24 hours. After landfall, the cyclone is forecast to move
northwestward, along the western side of the high, at a reduced
forward speed. Late in the forecast period Gordon, or its
post-tropical remnant, should turn northward to north-northeastward
as it approaches the mid-latitude westerlies. The official track
forecast is near the model consensus and very close to the previous
NHC track.

Key Messages:

1. Gordon is expected to bring life-threatening storm surge and
hurricane conditions to portions of the central Gulf Coast where a
Storm Surge Warning and Hurricane Warning are in effect. Residents
in these areas should listen to advice from their local officials.
All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion, as tropical storm conditions are expected to arrive in
the warning areas this afternoon.

2. Heavy rainfall from Gordon will affect the western Florida
Panhandle, southern Alabama, southern Mississippi and Louisiana,
where totals could reach as high as 12 inches. This rainfall could
cause flash flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 27.7N 85.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 29.0N 87.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 30.7N 89.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
36H 05/1800Z 32.2N 91.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 06/0600Z 33.4N 92.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
72H 07/0600Z 34.9N 94.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 08/0600Z 37.0N 94.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H 09/0600Z 40.0N 92.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Tropical Storm Florence Discussion Number 20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062018
500 AM AST Tue Sep 04 2018

Florence's cloud pattern has changed very little during the past
several hours, with the exception of a possible small Central Dense
Overcast developing just to the east of the center. An earlier
AMSR2 overpass revealed a rather obvious tilt toward the
east-northeast, indicative of the moderate southwesterly shear.
The initial intensity is held a 60 kt, and is supported by the
Dvorak subjective and objective T-numbers.

Florence should exhibit little change in strength during the next
24 hours or so, as the cyclone traverses marginally warm sea surface
temperatures and is influenced by modest west-southwesterly shear.
Slight weakening is expected during the mid- forecast period as the
shear gradually increases with time. Afterward, the upper-level
wind environment should become a little more favorable and, at the
same time, Florence will be moving back over warmer SSTs.
Consequently, the cyclone should gradually strengthen through day 5.
This forecast is unchanged from the previous one, and is in good
agreement with the NOAA-HCCA guidance.

The initial motion estimate is west-northwestward, or 290/11 kt.
The cyclone is expected to be steered west-northwestward for the
next 48 hours by a mid- to upper tropospheric ridge anchored to
the north, followed by a northwestward turn around the 72 hr period
as it enters a growing weakness in the aforementioned ridge. A
rather large spread in the global and hurricane models remains
particularly beyond day 4, however, the consensus models and the
global ensemble means have have been fairly consistent from run to
run. This forecast is just a bit to the north of the previous
advisory and just south of the consensus models.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 04/0900Z 19.3N 42.0W 60 KT 70 MPH
12H 04/1800Z 19.9N 43.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
24H 05/0600Z 20.8N 45.8W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 05/1800Z 21.8N 48.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 06/0600Z 22.9N 50.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 07/0600Z 25.2N 53.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 08/0600Z 27.1N 55.6W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 09/0600Z 29.1N 57.7W 65 KT 75 MPH

Storm watch issued for central Gulf coast just east of Morgan City

See NWS Lake Charles discussion

The Latest on tropical weather (all times local):

8 p.m.
The National Hurricane Center says tropical storm conditions and heavy rainfall are possible over parts of the central U.S. Gulf Coast in coming days.
The Miami-based center said Sunday afternoon that a storm system is brewing about 240 miles (385 kilometers) east-southeast of Marathon in the Florida Keys. Maximum sustained winds of the unnamed system have been clocked at 30 mph (45 kph) and the system is moving west-northwest at 15 mph (24 kph).
A tropical storm watch has been issued for portions of the central Gulf Coast from the Alabama-Florida line westward to nearly Morgan City, Louisiana.
The center says the system will gradually strengthen and is expected to become a tropical depression sometime Monday and a tropical storm by Monday evening. It says the system could dump 2 to 4 inches (5-10 centimeters) of rain over parts of the Bahamas, the Florida Keys and South Florida through early Tuesday.
Elsewhere, forecasters say, storm are expected to develop over the nation's midsection in coming days that could dump from 3 to 7 inches (8-17 centimeters) of rain in some areas.
___
5 p.m.
Tropical Storm Florence poses no threat to land as it continues to churn across the open Atlantic with no change in strength.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami says the tropical storm is centered about 700 miles (1,125 kilometers) west-northwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. Its moving west-northwest at about 17 mph (28 kph).
At 5 p.m. EDT Sunday, Florence had maximum sustained winds of 50 mph (85kph) with higher gusts.
Forecasters say little change in strength is expected in coming days and no coastal watches or warnings are in effect.
___
11:15 a.m.
Tropical Storm Florence is moving quickly west and has strengthened slightly but still poses no threat to land.
The National Hurricane Center in Miami said in its 11 a.m. EDT advisory Sunday that the storm
The storm is located about 605 miles (970 kilometers) west-northwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands off the coast of western Africa. The storm was moving west-northwest at 18 mph (30 kph).
Maximum sustained winds have decreased slightly to near 50 mph (85 kph) with higher gusts. The hurricane center said little change in strength is forecast over the next few days.
___
The National Hurricane Center in Miami says a new tropical storm in the eastern Atlantic will strengthen throughout the weekend but does not currently threaten land.
The center said in its 11 a.m. EDT advisory that Tropical Storm Florence was located about 225 miles (365 kilometers) west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands off the west coast of Africa.
No coastal watches or warnings are in effect.
Florence is moving west-northwest at 14 mph (22 kph). The storm's maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (75 kph) were expected to strengthen in the next 48 hours.

FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven Discussion Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072018
1100 PM EDT Sun Sep 02 2018

There has been little change in the organization of the disturbance
since the previous advisory. Satellite imagery shows that some new
convective bands have formed to the northeast of the trough axis,
but there is still no evidence of a closed surface circulation at
this time. The initial intensity remains 25 kt, which is in
agreement with the earlier ASCAT data and recent surface
observations. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to investigate the disturbance on Monday to give a better
assessment of the structure and intensity of the system.

The disturbance will be moving over warm waters and within
an area of generally low vertical wind shear. These conditions
should allow gradual development of the system over the next day or
so. The global model guidance indicates that the surface trough
will sharpen and that a closed surface circulation is likely to
develop in association with the system over the Gulf of Mexico
within the next 24-36 hours. Once this occurs, the system is
expected to continue to gradually strengthen until it reaches the
north-central Gulf coast Tuesday night or early Wednesday. The
intensity guidance did not change much this cycle and neither has
the latest official forecast.

The initial motion estimate is 300/13 kt. The disturbance is
forecast to move west-northwestward to northwestward around the
southwestern portion of a deep-layer ridge that is centered over the
Mid-Atlantic states. On this heading, the disturbance is
expected to pass over the Florida Keys or the southern Florida
peninsula tomorrow morning, then cross the eastern Gulf of Mexico
Monday night before approaching the north-central Gulf coast late
Tuesday or Tuesday night. The dynamical model guidance is in good
agreement on this scenario, however, since the system is still in
the pre-genesis phase future changes regarding the exact track
and timing of the onset of hazards are possible.

Key Messages:

1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven will bring heavy rainfall and
gusty winds to portions of the Bahamas, South Florida, and the
Florida Keys tonight and Monday, and interests in those areas should
monitor the progress of this system.

2. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the
central Gulf Coast, and tropical storm conditions are possible in
those areas Tuesday night and Wednesday. Heavy rainfall from this
system will affect portions of the central Gulf Coast later this
week, including areas that are currently receiving heavy rainfall
from a different weather system. Interests in these areas should
monitor products from their local National Weather Service office.

3. Users should be aware that forecast uncertainty for potential
tropical cyclones is generally larger than that for tropical
cyclones, especially beyond 48-72 hours.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/0300Z 23.4N 78.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 03/1200Z 24.5N 80.7W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 04/0000Z 25.9N 83.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
36H 04/1200Z 27.5N 86.2W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 05/0000Z 28.8N 88.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
72H 06/0000Z 31.7N 92.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/0000Z 33.2N 94.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
120H 08/0000Z 34.2N 95.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Festival parade rolls through downtown Morgan City

The Street Parade went on as scheduled Sunday afternoon during the Louisiana Shrimp & Petroleum Festival despite several events being canceled or moved to different venues earlier in the day due to rainy weather.

(Updated) Sunday gospel performances canceled at festival

The gospel performances scheduled for noon to 2:15 p.m. Sunday at Lawrence Park during the Louisiana Shrimp & Petroleum Festival have been canceled, according to festival organizers.

The Blessing of the Fleet and Water Parade scheduled for Sunday at the festival were also canceled. Mass in Lawrence Park was moved to Holy Cross Catholic Church.

Pancakes in the Park, hosted by Morgan City Rotary Club, was moved to St. Joseph Hall, 318 3rd St. in Morgan City. Pickup and dining last until noon Sunday. Tickets are $7 each.

Saturday afternoon at the S&P festival

Events Saturday afternoon at the Louisiana Shrimp & Petroleum Festival included opening of the Children's Village in Lawrence Park, performances on the gospel stage and Royal Shrimp Rumble.

Monday at the Louisiana Shrimp & Petroleum Festival

8-9 p.m. Community workout-yoga session, music stage

9 a.m.-9 p.m. 41st Annual Arts & Crafts Show & Sale

11 a.m.-5 p.m. AGU 55th Annual Show & Sale

11 a.m.-7:30 p.m. Cajun Culinary Classic

Noon-9 p.m. Mitchell Brothers Amusements, POP ride bracelets $25

Noon-1 p.m. KQKI Country Showdown winner Brittney Billiot, music stage

1:30-3 p.m. Low Down

3:30-5 p.m. Driftwood

5:30-7:30 p.m. South 70

Pages

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